AGP Executive Report

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ECB Rate Hike: The European Central Bank lifted rates by 0.25 point to 2.25% as the Iran war pushes up energy-driven inflation, with Lagarde framing it as “insurance” rather than a new tightening cycle. Consumer Cost Shield: EU lawmakers struck a provisional deal to protect households from rising CO2 costs by stabilising the ETS2 Market Stability Reserve ahead of the 2028 carbon charge. Budget Airline Scrutiny: UK regulators opened an investigation into Ryanair’s “mandatory family seat” fees, raising fresh concerns about hidden charges for parents travelling with children. Health & Retail: Britain approved the Wegovy pill (tablet form of the weight-loss drug), but NHS access still depends on NICE pricing decisions. Sustainability Clarity: A France-led consultation found fashion shoppers still don’t understand sustainable fashion, calling for better education and transparent impact info. Energy Security (Moldova): Moldova approved rules to build natural gas stocks for consumers on both sides of the Dniester, including a 15% storage obligation for Transnistria. Green Finance (Sri Lanka): With EU support, Sri Lanka operationalised its Green Finance Taxonomy to steer capital toward climate-resilient projects. Renewables (Spain): Spain’s renewable gases sector is pushing for “Sustainability Proofs” to count as sufficient accreditation alongside Guarantees of Origin. AI for Lower Power: A new benchmark ranked HyperNova 60B as a top “intelligence-per-size” open model, reflecting Europe’s push for cheaper, energy-efficient AI. Antifouling Research: New study results challenge assumptions about copper-based antifouling paints and test lower-impact alternatives for leisure boats.

Counterfeit Drugs: EU drug authorities warn that fake prescription pills laced with nitazenes have surged, with seizures rising from 380 tablets (2022) to 50,000+ (2024), as the market grows more unpredictable. Consumer Costs & Energy: The Netherlands reported 3.5% inflation in May, driven by pricier air travel and bungalow park stays, while EU households’ energy use edged down 0.2% in 2024 and EU negotiators agreed stronger price controls in the carbon market (ETS2) with permit releases if prices top €45. Food & Safety Rules: Cyprus is pushing to land a deal on EU food safety simplification, with pesticide residue limits and substance approval periods still the main sticking points. Car Leasing Watch: France’s consumer watchdog flags issues in long-term leasing (LLD/LOA), including deposits and return/resale mechanics that can leave drivers exposed. Tech & Retail Infrastructure: Telefonica Germany is rolling out SD-WAN across ~4,700 Deichmann stores to speed in-store digital services. Big Tech & AI Access: The EU and Apple trade blame over Siri AI rollout, while regulators keep pressing Meta to restore free WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbots. Energy-Intensive Industry Support: Bulgaria approved a compensation scheme for energy-intensive consumers under a 3x50 model, funded via an electricity security fund. Travel & Leisure Prices: Dutch research claims camping in Croatia is now the most expensive in Europe, reigniting debate over peak-season pricing. Semiconductors Sovereignty: Qualinx and GlobalFoundries say they’ve completed an all-European foundry process for security-critical chips.

EU Antitrust on Big Tech: The European Commission ordered Meta to restore free access for rival AI chatbots to WhatsApp, giving the company five working days while the investigation continues over alleged restrictions on competitors. Consumer Health Watch: The EU drugs agency warns Europe’s drug market is getting more diverse and more potent, with 50 new psychoactive substances detected in 2025 and rising risks from highly potent synthetic opioids and vaping-linked misuse. Payments Fraud: Fraudio says payment fraud rose about 25%, with attacks increasingly tied to shared infrastructure and coordinated payment networks—plus more legitimate customers flagged by blunt controls. Retail & Consumer Safety (Spain): Spain is replacing pharmacy “box cutter” coupon processes with a digital verification identifier to improve traceability and crack down on counterfeits. Tobacco Regulation: Italy fined Philip Morris €7m over misleading “smoke-free” marketing claims for non-combustion products. Travel & Connectivity: Wizz Air will be the first European low-cost carrier to offer Starlink internet onboard (planned for 2027). Digital Trade: The EU and South Korea signed a digital trade agreement covering e-contracts, e-signatures, online consumer protection, and data rules. Workforce Pensions (Spain): A study finds only 27% of Spanish firms offer workplace pension plans, leaving many workers reliant on the state. Youth Employment (UK): Retail bosses warn rising taxes, wage costs, and red tape are pricing them out of hiring under-25s. Food & Drink Habits (UK): GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are cutting UK grocery bills by about £780m, as users buy fewer food and drink packs.

EU Antitrust & Big Tech: The European Commission ordered Meta to restore free WhatsApp access for rival AI assistants, as regulators keep probing whether Meta used WhatsApp’s reach to favor its own AI services. AI in Consumer Tech: Apple’s WWDC 2026 pitch put a refreshed, more capable Siri at the center, but EU DMA disputes are still driving delays and feature limits for EU users. Retail & Consumer Mood: German retailers expect only a modest World Cup sales lift since the tournament is outside Germany, with gains likely confined to specific categories. Connected Consumer Expectations: Assurant’s 2026 report says connected tech is now “critical infrastructure,” with consumers prioritizing reliability, simple experiences, predictable costs, and trusted support. Mobility & Services: Bolt launched in Milan to challenge Uber in an Italy market still shaped by strict taxi rules and licensing limits. Packaging Rules: The EU’s PPWR is pushing recyclability requirements onto labels too, with compatibility with recycling streams and post-consumer recycled content for certain plastic labels. Health & Safety: The EU drugs report warns vaping could become a delivery route for synthetic opioids, while also flagging rising potency and overdose deaths. Industrial Supply Chains: The EU proposed Chips Act 2.0 to strengthen demand-side pull and reduce chip dependencies, linking it to broader tech sovereignty efforts. EV Supply Chain: EcoPro says its Hungary cathode plant has reached full-scale production for high-nickel EV materials, targeting European OEM demand. Trade & Travel Spend: Spain’s Murcia region is seeing faster tourist spending growth in early 2026, driven more by visitor numbers than higher spend per trip.

EU Antitrust: The European Commission has ordered Meta to restore free access to WhatsApp for rival general-purpose AI assistants within five working days, saying interim steps are needed to prevent “serious and irreparable damage” while it investigates Meta’s conduct; Meta says it will appeal. Consumer Tech & Games: France’s competition authority secured a €35m settlement from Nintendo of Europe over Joy-Con drift, alleging the firm knew of defects years earlier but disclosed them late. Beauty & Health: The US FDA approved bemotrizinol, a sunscreen UV filter long used in Europe, marking the first new OTC sunscreen ingredient in 20 years. Retail Expansion: Sephora confirmed four new UK store openings this summer, including its first-ever locations in Scotland (Edinburgh and Glasgow). Energy & Grid: EdgeMode says it has struck a deal to gain 51% control of Spain’s Ibersun Generación to launch large-scale battery storage aimed at cutting outages and price spikes. Automotive Sales: Jato data shows electrified vehicles drove April growth across “expanded Europe,” with EVs up sharply and reaching 22.2% market share. Robotaxis: 17 European countries backed cross-border testing of autonomous vehicles to speed up robotaxi trials under a more coordinated framework. Sanctions Watch: Brussels unveiled its 21st Russia sanctions package, focusing on energy, financial services/crypto, trade and fisheries, plus a ban on entry for former Russian combatants.

EU Retail & Customs: Ireland is ending the “frictionless” de minimis flow for low-value online buys: from 1 July, a €3 customs duty will apply to many parcels worth €150 or less entering from outside the EU, potentially stacking per item type (not just per parcel) and adding VAT on top. Trade Policy Shock: The EU’s new steel quota system—halving tariff-free access and raising duties to 50% above allocations—has sparked warnings it could “kill” Ukraine’s steel industry from 1 July. AI for Consumers & Work: SpaceX-backed AI coding startup Cursor is opening a London European HQ and hiring ~200 staff, aiming to automate software development for European enterprise demand. Autonomous Mobility: Uber and Wayve have opened a London waitlist for autonomous minicabs, with early rides using a safety operator and a path toward fully driverless trips pending regulation. Energy & Consumer Impact: Plug-in solar is accelerating across Europe as incentives and falling prices boost adoption, with demand rising in Germany and the UK amid Middle East-driven energy volatility. Food Safety: A former EFSA chair says Brazil likely won’t meet the EU’s antimicrobials compliance deadline, risking removal from the EU export list from September 3. Retail Closures: Bradford’s Kirkgate Shopping Centre is set to close on June 18, with multiple stores already shutting or announcing last trading dates. Online Returns Watch: A French consumer complaint highlights how some retailers make returns costly and slow, urging shoppers to check reviews and return terms before ordering. Tech & Health Products: ABL Diagnostics reports progress verifying its DeepChek workflow with Element Biosciences’ AVITI sequencing platform, supporting labs’ platform flexibility.

Inflight Connectivity: Wizz Air says it will roll out Starlink onboard Wi‑Fi from 2027, aiming to make reliable internet a standard feature for European low-cost travel. Airline Alliances: ITA Airways is joining the Lufthansa Group–ANA joint venture for Europe–Japan routes from this fall, deepening integration as Lufthansa moves toward a larger stake. Food & Health: A European Heart Journal study links higher intake of several common food preservatives (including potassium sorbate and sodium nitrite) with higher hypertension risk in a cohort of 112,000+. Energy & Climate: EU renewable ethanol hit a record greenhouse-gas reduction score, with producers arguing it also delivers food/feed co-products and biogenic CO2. Retail & Consumer Life: Spain’s Region of Murcia holiday (June 9) brings broad supermarket and mall openings, with some key exceptions and adjusted store hours. Payments & Startups: Mercuryo claims 60th place in Sifted’s Southern Europe fast-growth ranking, highlighting “rapid payments” and compliance-led growth. Regulation & Data/AI: EU MiCA compliance costs are being blamed for squeezing smaller crypto startups, pushing advantage toward larger incumbents. Travel Tech: Uber is opening sign-ups for London robotaxis, with a human supervisor initially on board.

EU Tech Sovereignty: The European Commission unveiled a sweeping “technological sovereignty” push to cut digital dependency, boost AI power, and expand open-source strategy alongside Chips Act 2.0 and a Cloud & AI Development Act. EU Trade Backlash: Experts warn the EU’s “de-risking” protectionism toward China could backfire, with new friction tied to cybersecurity and procurement proposals. ECB Rate Decision: The ECB is expected to raise rates for the first time in 2.5 years as the Iran-linked energy shock lifts eurozone inflation. Consumer Travel Rules: Spain’s Balearics is cracking down on public drinking, with fines up to €3,000 for British holidaymakers. Border Chaos for Shoppers: Iata warns the EU’s Entry/Exit System can mean passport-control waits of up to six hours, risking missed flights. Retail & Markets: Cyprus retail trade fell in April, while tech stocks sold off after the AI rally cooled. Banking Deal Tension: UniCredit and Commerzbank continue clashing over investor support in UniCredit’s takeover bid. Circular Electronics: New buyback/refurbishment models highlight growth in consumer electronics recycling and value recovery across Europe. Health Product Update: Sanofi’s Sarclisa gets EU approval for subcutaneous use via an on-body injector.

Retail Investing Buzz: SpaceX’s IPO is drawing unusually heavy retail interest across Europe, with up to 30% of shares potentially earmarked for individuals in markets including the UK, Germany, France, Spain and more—yet analysts warn the small float, lack of voting rights and the lofty valuation could make it a bumpy ride for non-institutional buyers. Consumer Tech Payments: ING, Worldline and Mastercard say they’ve completed Europe’s first live end-to-end “agentic” payment transaction in production, where an AI assistant finds and buys concert tickets while the customer keeps final approval. Health & Obesity Drugs: Zealand Pharma reports Boehringer Ingelheim’s survodutide Phase III results, citing up to 34% visceral fat and 63% liver fat reductions with limited lean-mass loss in pre-specified analysis, plus additional MASLD-linked findings. Energy Drink Strategy: Celsius outlines its multi-brand reset after integrating Alani and Rockstar, aiming for margin recovery and cautious international expansion, with early momentum flagged in France and the UK. EU Consumer/Travel Rules: France’s electrification push and EU moves on visas and border systems are shaping household costs and travel friction, while aviation faces summer strain from delays and a SAF supply gap. Food Retail Notes: Aldi shoppers keep spotlighting bread aisles, with customer-driven “best picks” circulating as consumers chase value.

Brexit EV tariffs: UK and EU carmakers are pressing the European Commission to delay and suspend Brexit-era electric vehicle tariff rules, arguing they can’t meet the “made in Europe” battery origin targets by Jan 2027. Cost of living: The ECB is widely expected to lift rates by 0.25% to 2.25%, which would raise mortgage repayments and borrowing costs across the euro area. Online shopping hit: From July 1, Irish shoppers face new EU customs charges on parcels under €150, with a €3 duty per item potentially added at checkout or on delivery. EU tech regulation: Meta scored a rare win at the EU General Court as a DMA move on Facebook Marketplace was ruled insufficiently reasoned, though Messenger remains in regulators’ sights. Telecom deal: Bouygues-led consortium (Bouygues Telecom, Orange, Free-iliad) signed an MoU to buy Altice France’s SFR for €20.35bn, reshaping France’s mobile market. Energy & households: Cyprus launched “Larnaca -26” to cut daily water use by 26 liters ahead of peak summer, as drought pressure grows. Retail behavior: A UK report highlights how supermarket loyalty schemes and in-store tactics can steer spending, raising questions about genuine consumer choice.

Retail & Tech: Amazon is pushing deeper into Europe warehouse automation with upgraded Proteus robots that can follow plain-language instructions, part of a €10bn+ fulfilment overhaul. Fintech & Investing: European retail investors are lining up for the SpaceX IPO, with up to 30% of the deal potentially reserved for individuals across multiple countries—enthusiasm is high, but warnings focus on valuation and small floats. Consumer Policy: Spain’s deposit return scheme is set to change everyday returns: shops may have to accept eligible bottles and cans even if bought elsewhere, reshaping how refunds work for consumers and retailers. Sustainability in Groceries: UK supermarket Sainsbury’s plans to phase out brown eggs in its own-brand range, switching to white eggs after research found lower emissions. Food & Retail Culture: A UK hot sauce maker, Callaloo Corner, won medals at the European Hot Sauce Awards, highlighting premium niche food brands. Energy & Grid: Latvia’s Sunly and Rolls-Royce Power Systems are building large battery storage projects to support Baltic grid stability.

Armenia Aid & Sanctions Fallout: The EU is preparing a €50m+ emergency support package for Armenia after Russia blocked exports, with easier access for agri-food into EU markets and help finding buyers. Consumer Cost Pressure: The ECB’s April consumer expectations survey shows households still feel inflation is rising (median perceived inflation up to 4.0%), while income growth expectations soften—another sign of pressure on everyday spending. Retail Momentum Slows: Eurostat data points to weaker retail volumes in April (down 0.4% euro area, 0.5% EU month-on-month), with food holding up better than non-food. Tech Sovereignty vs US: The US ambassador warns Europe against “decoupling” on AI and cloud, framing it as an “AI war” with China—while the EU pushes tech sovereignty in sensitive public contracts. Carbon Data for Food: HowGood and Sweep team up to help food and agriculture firms track product-level emissions for EU reporting. Travel Friction at Borders: The EU’s Entry Exit System is causing long airport queues, with warnings to clear passport control before shopping or dining. Greece Tobacco Crackdown: Greece reports a big drop in illegal cigarette consumption, cutting the share to 14.1% and recovering revenue losses. Sustainability Funding: Lithuania’s €884m Social Climate Plan backs home renovations, EVs for public transport, and charging/bike infrastructure to ease the clean transition.

Right-to-Repair Meets Gaming: Nintendo confirmed an EU-only Switch 2 revision with user-replaceable batteries, aimed at the bloc’s e-waste rules kicking in from 2027. Retail Deal Watch: Mr Price has completed its €9.6bn European move, buying NKD and adding 2,100+ stores across seven countries. Food Manufacturing Investment: Cargill is pouring €56m into Belgium to expand edible oils bottling and gourmet chocolate capacity, plus a new pilot plant for product development. Consumer Tech & Compliance: The EU is pressing Spain over its traveler registration system, arguing it may breach EU data protection rules—hot news for hotels, rentals and travel platforms. Media & Competition: European publishers are suing Google for adtech monopoly abuses, seeking £552m+ in damages after the EU’s €2.95bn fine. Kids Media Buzz: IvyBears’ new kids IP is surging on YouTube, hitting ~18m views in 3.5 weeks and 109k subscribers in about a month. Energy & Water: Cyprus launched a campaign to cut household water use by 26 litres per day by September as shortages loom.

Retail & Consumer Growth: Wales’ Hair Syrup, born from a £300 student side hustle, is now stocked by Boots, ASOS and Urban Outfitters and was named in The Sunday Times 100 for fastest-growing private businesses in Wales and the UK. In-Store Tech: Auchan has started rolling out Gausium Omnie autonomous cleaning robots across French supermarkets, targeting high-traffic aisles and fresh produce zones. Digital Trust for Commerce: NicSRS is expanding its SSL automation with sslTrus CaaS Reseller Edition, aimed at helping hosting providers and MSPs manage shorter certificate lifecycles. Food Safety & Consumer Awareness: The EU-funded HOLiFOOD project launches a climate-and-food-safety digital campaign to explain emerging risks and earlier detection for consumers. Trade & Pricing Pressure: The EU is preparing over €50m in support for Armenia as Russia blocks imports, while EU-UK/EU-US tariff cap talks continue to shape cross-border costs. Energy Costs & Renewables: SolarPower Europe says solar has saved Europe €12.8bn since early June, as governments push for storage to keep renewables scaling. Market Watch: Broadcom’s tumble dragged global tech sentiment, while European stocks edged higher.

Retail & Payments: ING customers in Germany can now use Wero for online shopping at participating retailers, paying straight from their current accounts as the EU-backed payment infrastructure rolls out across Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands. Consumer Tech & Repairability: Nintendo says it will comply with EU rules on replaceable batteries, preparing Switch 2 versions with user-swappable batteries for the EU market by February 2027. EVs & Affordability: Stellantis’ E-Car plan targets small, affordable EVs in Europe, with production starting at Fiat’s Pomigliano d’Arco plant and a first model aimed for 2028. Energy & Sustainability: Germany’s floating solar experiment on a Bavarian gravel pit showed panels covered just 4.65% of the lake while still generating power, supporting the case for cleaner energy without major ecosystem damage. Food & Trade: EU agri-food trade surplus rebounded to €4.4bn in February, with exports up year-on-year as some categories fell (cocoa, pigmeat, olives) and others rose (fruits and nuts). Business Expansion: Orangetheory Fitness is entering Italy for the first time, with four studios planned around Rome over the next four years.

Armenia Support Package: The EU is preparing short-term financial help for Armenia and preferential trade terms as Russia tightens restrictions on Armenian imports, with Brussels also pushing trade and energy connectivity in the South Caucasus. Consumer & Retail Safety: France hit Shein with record fines over consumer-rights and return-policy breaches, while Europe also faces a crackdown wave on cannabis foods and flowers as regulators tighten rules. Digital Markets & Consumer Tech: The EU General Court partially annulled Meta’s DMA gatekeeper status for Marketplace (but kept Messenger), and Nintendo says it will prepare EU Switch 2 versions with user-replaceable batteries to meet 2027 rules. Energy & Infrastructure: The Commission set minimum energy-efficiency standards for data centres amid AI-driven power demand growth, and it’s also pushing a digitalisation and AI-in-energy roadmap under tech sovereignty. Business Funding & Platforms: Semble raised £30m to expand its healthcare care-orchestration platform, and Innovorder secured €20m to grow restaurant digitalisation software across Europe. Mobility & Manufacturing: Nissan and Chery plan to build Chery-branded cars in Britain using spare capacity at Sunderland, while SEAT/CUPRA’s Martorell plant starts production of new electric models for Europe. Labour Rights Spotlight: Italy’s migrant farmworker killings have reignited scrutiny of labour exploitation and the caporalato system feeding European supply chains.

UK Retail & Consumer Retailing: Wed2b founder Todd Kennedy tells Retail Week how the UK’s biggest bridal retailer scaled fast across Europe, with a focus on price transparency and a less-stuffy shopping experience. Spain Retail & Consumer Rules: Mercadona will reopen selected stores on Sundays during peak summer weeks, while EU rules due in August 2026 will ban single-use ketchup and mayo sachets in catering, pushing restaurants toward reusable dispensers. Spain Public Health: Spain’s total solar eclipse on Aug 12 is already drawing crowds, and health authorities stress low overall risk but warn about eye damage from improper viewing and crowd safety. EU Tech Sovereignty: The European Commission unveiled a “technological sovereignty” package targeting chips, cloud/AI and open source, plus a push to prevent foreign “kill switch” access to critical services. Big Tech & Media: Britain’s CMA adds rules for Google’s AI Overviews to protect publishers, including clearer attribution and opt-outs. France Consumer Enforcement: France fines Shein €22m over traceability, environmental labelling and consumer-rights issues. EU-US Trade: The EU and US reaffirm they’ll uphold their trade deal and work through disputes to protect business confidence. EU Policy & Infrastructure: Spain opened consultation on a law to transpose the EU urban wastewater directive, updating sanitation rules nationwide. EU Security Funding: Cyprus secured a €1.18bn EU defense loan under the SAFE program.

EU Tech Sovereignty: The EU is set to unveil a plan to cut dependence on American and Asian tech by backing European digital alternatives and building more controlled ecosystems. Public Procurement: A new push argues procurement can be used as a real industrial lever, not just paperwork—using tenders to steer cloud/AI spending toward greener, rights-respecting outcomes. Food & Packaging Circularity: Mondi launches wet-wipe packaging with 35% PCR content, while Prism unveils a fully recyclable kefir sleeve for Bio&Me, aiming to reduce EPR and improve recyclability. Retail & Travel Experience: Lagardère Travel Retail renews duty-free and fashion concessions at Geneva Airport with store refurbishments and a new duty-free concept. Manufacturing Pulse: Germany’s manufacturing stalled in May as Middle East-linked uncertainty and costs hit orders and employment. Consumer Tech & Devices: Europe smartphone shipments grew 2% in 1Q26, with Samsung and Apple gaining despite supply-side risks. Finance & Household Behavior: An ECB paper finds Europeans still avoid direct equity investing, with low and churn-heavy participation. AI for Operations: Cognex expands OneVision for faster AI vision deployment, and Rockwell Automation backs Liquats Vegetals’ digital transformation in Spain.

UK Net-Zero Push: Britain set an 87% emissions-cut target by 2040, aiming to shield households from energy-price shocks, but it still hasn’t detailed how it will be delivered. Prime Day Shift: Amazon moved Prime Day in Spain to June 23–26, betting on World Cup-driven shopping demand. Eurozone Cost Pressure: Eurostat put May inflation at 3.2% year-on-year, with energy still the biggest driver and core inflation also rising. Payments Upgrade: Checkout.com enabled stablecoin acceptance for eligible enterprise merchants via Coinbase Payments, adding another option for shoppers. Retail & Travel Moves: Lagardère Travel Retail renewed and revamped duty-free at Geneva Airport, while GetYourGuide says summer travel is shifting toward “deeper” local experiences. Packaging Sustainability: Mondi launched recyclable wet-wipes packaging using mono-PP with 35% PCR content to meet upcoming EU rules. Energy Market Watch: European gas prices eased on weaker demand and wind output, though uncertainty around Iran talks kept markets jumpy.

Local Micro-Finance: Germany’s Chiemgau region is using the “Chiemgauer” community currency—started as a school project in 2003—to keep spending local and cut carbon impact. Luxury Retail Shift: European luxury brands are doubling down on the US, adding stores and shows to attract wealthy shoppers boosted by the AI boom, while Iran-war disruption and China’s slowdown weigh on demand. E-commerce Deals: Amazon Prime Day in Spain runs June 23–26, a four-day sale spanning fashion, beauty, kitchen and home, plus a Prime-member festival in Madrid. Consumer Prices Watch: The ECB says euro-area inflation expectations stayed elevated in April, with short-term views still at 4% and uncertainty high after the Iran-linked oil shock. Trade Balance: Eurostat reports the EU’s goods trade surplus shrank to €12.7bn in early 2026, with weaker machinery/vehicle exports and a deeper energy deficit driving the change. Food & Retail Innovation: White Castle replaces its Impossible Slider with Dr Praeger’s veggie patty, reflecting a shift toward simpler, less processed plant-based options. Packaging Sustainability: Novelis publishes independently verified Environmental Product Declarations for select aluminium products, including high-recycled-content alloys, to support greener building choices. Pharma Access Gap: Sweden’s orphan drug wait times are rising, with patients averaging 651 days after EU approval before medicines become available.

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